Let’s hope!

Saturday, December 27th, 2008 | Money, The Economy | No Comments

For all of you who are worried about the economy, I have decided to review a little history of the US.

From 1890 and 1930 there were four major economic downturns. Of these downturns only one made the name of the “Great Depression!” It started shortly after the stock market crash of 1929 and lasted for more than ten years. Unemployment well into the downturn reached 30%. We are at 6.7% unemployment. This figure may not be calculated the same as in the 30s, but it is pretty easy to see that we don’t have one in three workers without a job.

Looking at the history between 1890 and 1940, what was the big difference between the earlier crashes and lasted about 3 years each and the “Great Depression?” By far and away the biggest difference was the United States government. They tried to fix the problem with the wrong solutions, convinced the public to stay the course, and created misery. The only way we finally got out of the quagmire was WWII. We shipped millions of men both East and West and increased manufacturing of weapons.

Let’s hope that our government entities at all levels refrain from repeating the past failures. WHO knows?

Tags: depression, history, inflation, unemployment

Here is a great place for great financial information

Friday, May 16th, 2008 | Investment, Money, Real Estate, Safety, Statistics, The Economy | No Comments

If you have read some of my earlier posts you probably asked yourself where do I get some of the data I use. As an example, the statistics in the article “Why haven’t your mutual funds made you rich.” I found on the net. I gave Crestmont their credit and even linked their web site on this post.

I was back there again today and was amazed at some of the great stuff these folks have compiled. Using their information and by adding in costs and inflation, I came up with the realization that the money I put in mutual funds in 1997 has generated NO wealth for me in more than ten years!

I admit that some of the information at their site is a little deep. But they have some great graphs that help a lot. One place I looked today was the volatility of the market and another great chart was “Interest rates and inflation.” Now that was an eye opener!

Most of us think we are so busy that we don’t have time to do any research. We don’t pay any real attention to our IRA or 401k. We think that the professionals are doing a better job than we can. We just glance at the numbers when we get in our quarterly report. Most of us don’t know where to start even if we were interested. That is one of the reasons I have this blog. If I find something I want to share it.

While you are watching “Dancing with the stars,” go to Crestmont – http://www.crestmontresearch.com/ and have a look around during the commercials. As an older person I want to make sure I put my money where it is safe and work HARD for ME!

Cheryl moved her retirement funds into cash last November. She is just getting back into mutual funds and missed a 25% drop in the value of her nest egg. The real estate market has some exciting places where I can meet and exceed my financial needs. I feel this is the most exciting time to invest in the last 30 years. “Buy low sell high!”

Tags: inflation, investing, Phoenix real estate, Real Estate, return on investment

Why the worst may be over

Wednesday, April 30th, 2008 | Money, Real Estate, The Economy | No Comments

The credit crunch may be behind us and earnings have been better than expected. That could lead to happier times if the Fed starts focusing on inflation.

Oil hit another record high but has since pulled back. The dollar has finally started to show some signs of life. And for the most part, corporate earnings were – as Larry David would say – pretty pretty good.

More 

Tags: inflation, Phoenix real estate, Real Estate